The Price of Progress: Unpacking the High Cost of Drug Development
- Nick Inboden
- Jun 13, 2024
- 7 min read
Updated: Jul 22, 2024

Taking a drug from discovery to market is no easy feat. The complexities involved in discovering possible drug candidates and navigating rigorous clinical trials in order to gain regulatory approval have driven the cost of drug development to $2.3 billion according to a Deloitte analysis. While this price may seem high, the extensive research, testing, and compliance with regulatory bodies necessary to ensure the safety and efficacy of a new drug come with a cost. Understanding these costs is crucial for investors, researchers, and the general public as they directly impact pharmaceutical pricing, healthcare costs, and the pace of medical innovation. The process can be broken down:
Initial Discovery and Development:
Researchers begin by identifying a biological target in the body associated with a specific disease. This involves extensive research to understand the molecular and cellular mechanisms underlying development of the disease. The goal is to pinpoint a target, such as a protein or gene, whose modulation can alter the disease course, a process that requires a deep understanding of the disease's biology, often involving advanced technologies to identify key molecular players.
Enzyme kinetics, which study the rate of chemical reactions catalyzed by enzymes, is crucial in this phase. It helps researchers understand how quickly a disease-related biochemical process occurs and which step in the progression process should be targeted to best inhibit the development of disease. By studying enzyme kinetics, researchers can determine the optimal point to inhibit the disease-causing process, aiming to achieve the maximum therapeutic effect with minimal side effects.
Once a suitable biological target is identified, researchers embark on the search and development of potential drug candidates. This phase, known as high-throughput screening, involves testing thousands to millions of compounds to identify those able to interact with the biological target effectively. Advanced techniques, such as computational modeling and virtual screening like that used by Insilco Medicine’s Chemistry 42 (read about here), are often employed to expedite this process and to predict how potential drugs will behave in biological systems.
The development phase involves rigorous testing of these potential drug candidates in order to evaluate efficacy and safety. Initially, a large number of potential drug candidates are tested, but unfortunately only a small fraction show promise in preclinical studies. These promising candidates undergo further optimization, where their chemical structures are further modified to improve potency and selectivity. This iterative process of design, synthesis, and testing aims to enhance the therapeutic potential of the compounds while minimizing adverse effects.
Preclinical Research
During preclinical research, researchers conduct in vitro (test tube or cell culture) and in vivo (animal) studies to assess the drug's safety profile and biological activity. These studies provide crucial data on the drug's mechanism of action, therapeutic efficacy, and potential toxicity, guiding the selection of candidates for further development and preclinical testing.
Ultimately, only a few compounds advance to the next phase of testing, where they undergo more extensive preclinical evaluation before entering clinical trials. This stringent selection process ensures that only the most promising and safe candidates proceed, increasing the likelihood of success in subsequent stages of drug development. The Food and Drug administration (FDA) requires researchers to abide by Good Laboratory Practices (GLP) that set requirements and standards for conduct in regard to facilities, equipment, operating procedures, and the format in which study reports are written. Preclinical research is the final step before a drug is tested in humans for the first time and the data collected is therefore carefully reviewed by the FDA.
Clinical Trials
Clinical trials are meticulously designed according to a clinical protocol developed by researchers to provide clear criteria for testing a novel drug. This protocol details the entire process of administering the drug to patients and outlines the specific goals for each stage of the trial. Before clinical trials can commence, the Investigational New Drug (IND) application must be completed. This application includes data from preclinical trials in animals, manufacturing information, the clinical protocol, and information about the company developing the drug. Once submitted, the FDA reviews the IND with a team of experts from various scientific disciplines and either approves the commencement of clinical trials or places a hold if there are concerns. The primary role of the FDA at this stage is to ensure patient safety and minimize potential harm from the new drug. The FDA also provides feedback to improve the quality of the trials and ensure the reliability of the results. Upon approval, the clinical trials progress through several phases.
Phase 1:
Phase 1 aims to determine how the drug interacts with the human body and identify any side effects as dosages increase. The primary goal at this stage is to evaluate safety, rather than the efficacy of the drug. Typically, 20-80 healthy volunteers or patients participate in these trials, which usually last a few months. Researchers closely monitor participants to observe any short to medium term side effects and gather data on how the drug is metabolized and excreted. This phase helps establish the safe dosage range and provides an initial understanding of the drug's interaction with the human body. These trials are vital in the identification of potential risks before the drug is tested in larger populations.
Phase 2:
In Phase 2, the dosing scheme determined from Phase 1 is used to further assess safety and begin evaluating the drug's efficacy. This phase involves several hundred individuals with the condition or disease that the novel drug is designed to target and treat. The primary aim of Phase 2 is to continue evaluating safety. Although patients may start to experience benefits from the drug, the focus remains on refining the dosage and monitoring for side effects. This phase can last from several months to a few years and helps lay the groundwork for the larger Phase 3 trials by further determining the optimal dose and identifying any additional safety concerns.
Phase 3:
Phase 3 studies are designed to confirm the drug’s therapeutic benefits and gather extensive safety data. These trials involve a much larger group of participants, typically ranging from 300 to 3,000 patients, and can last several years. The primary objective is to provide a comprehensive assessment of the drug's efficacy and monitor for rare and long-term side effects. Researchers compare the new drug to existing treatments or placebos to determine its relative effectiveness. This phase ensures that the drug's benefits outweigh any potential risks while also providing the robust evidence needed for regulatory approval. The data collected from Phase 3 trials are critical for the New Drug Application (NDA) submitted to the FDA.
Phase 4:
Following the successful completion of Phase 3 trials, researchers compile all data and submit a New Drug Application (NDA) to the FDA. This application includes detailed clinical trial results, manufacturing information, and proposed labeling. The FDA review team, composed of experts in various fields such as pharmacology, toxicology, and clinical medicine, evaluates the submission to ensure that the application is complete and accurate. FDA inspectors frequently visit the facilities where clinical trials are conducted to ensure the integrity of the process, verifying that data has not been manipulated and that no improper actions have been taken to hasten the approval process. Once the FDA determines that a drug is safe and effective, the drug receives FDA approval and the FDA begins working with the manufacturer to accurately label the drug in order to communicate prescription information including how the drug is best used, dosage information, and possible side effects.
The clinical trial process is a rigorous and multi-phase endeavor designed to ensure that new drugs are both safe and effective before reaching market. Each phase plays a critical role in gathering essential data and addressing potential risks, ultimately ensuring that only the most promising and safe treatments are made available to the public.
Placebos, inactive substances or treatments, are sometimes used as a control in later stages of clinical trials. It is important to note that for individuals suffering from life-threatening diseases, placebos are rarely used. It is unethical to give a dying person something known to do nothing when the outcome of disease progression, death, is already known.
Costs add up
Developing a new drug involves several stages that require extensive resources, specialized equipment, and highly skilled personnel. The initial design and discovery phase necessitates advanced laboratory facilities and cutting-edge technology to identify potential drug candidates and conduct preliminary tests. Preclinical research involves complex and costly experiments on animals to assess the drug’s safety and efficacy, requiring specialized equipment and highly trained scientists.
Phase 1 clinical trials involve recruiting a small group of participants and conducting detailed medical examinations, which require advanced diagnostic tools and facilities. In Phase 2, the focus expands to a larger group of patients, necessitating more extensive monitoring and data collection, which involves significant manpower and technology. Phase 3 trials are even larger and more comprehensive, involving thousands of patients across multiple locations, requiring extensive logistical coordination, data management systems, and long-term follow-up.
The FDA review process demands meticulous documentation and compliance with stringent regulations, involving legal experts, regulatory professionals, and scientific advisors. After approval, Phase 4 post-market monitoring requires continuous data collection and analysis to ensure long-term safety and efficacy, involving ongoing surveillance and reporting systems. Each phase involves complex scientific research, requiring high levels of expertise and specialized equipment, further driving up costs.
An estimated 90-95% of drugs never progress from discovery to market, primarily because they prove ineffective in clinical trials. If a more effective treatment already exists, continuing with a less effective option is pointless; it would neither be marketable nor beneficial in treating the condition. Although most drugs fail before reaching the $2.3 billion investment mark, significant capital has already been spent on their development.
From an economic standpoint, the development of a drug is an immensely costly endeavor due to the significant investment required in both advanced equipment and specialized personnel. The comprehensive teams responsible for ensuring regulatory compliance and coordinating the logistics of trials play a crucial role, further contributing to the financial burden. These collective efforts, encompassing state-of-the-art technology, rigorous testing, and meticulous oversight, are fundamental to the process, ultimately driving the $2.3 billion cost of bringing a drug from discovery to market.
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